Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Good morning everyone! Morning Joe is live in New Hampshire breaking down last night's primary results!

The show has Mike Barnicle, Steve Kornacki, Robert Costa, Kasie Hunt, Donald Trump, Steve Schmidt, Eugene Robinson, Fmr. Gov. Jeb Bush, Chuck Todd, Katty Kay, Josh Green, Katy Tur, Tom Brokaw, Stuart Stevens, Megan Murphy, Ben Ginsberg, Chris Matthews, Chris Jansing, Jennifer Horn, Kate Snow and in Taji Japan, all boats docked. BLUE COVE DAY!! 2016-10-2 10:10am ‪#‎tweet4dolphins‬ ‪#‎dolphinproject‬

New Hampshire primary

Last updated Feb 10, 2016 at 8:34 AM ET

Feb 923 delegates

91% reportingDelegatesVote %
Trump (won)35.1%
Kasich15.9%
Cruz11.6%
Bush11.1%
Rubio10.5%
Christie7.5%
Fiorina4.2%
Carson2.3%
Paul0.7%
Huckabee0.1%
Santorum0.1%
Gilmore0.0%
Pataki0.0%
Graham0.0%
Jindal0.0%

New Hampshire primary

Last updated Feb 10, 2016 at 8:35 AM ET

Feb 924 delegates

91% reportingDelegatesVote %
Sanders (won)60.0%
Clinton38.4%
O'Malley0.2%

The Campaign has begun and it was an awakening like no other last night. The country is not only divided, it is split in four's. Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders crushed the rest of the pack accordingly. The Democrats are splintered and the GOP is cut in half. Notably, the Hillary Clinton campaign is in disarray. Clinton lost the female vote by big numbers and Sanders not only won 85% with people under 30 years old, he also won 72% of the Indy vote, with 68% gun owners and then a huge percentage of liberals also voted for Bernie...Gun owners and liberals with millennial's and Indy voters along with women all voted for Bernie.

The message sent is that Americans are voting against the establishment and against George Bush Jr.'s and Dick Cheney's year in office and the Obama years. 

Chris Christie had a disappointing night ending up in sixth at 7.5% after spending most of his time in new Hampshire over the last few months. Marco Rubio ended in fifth as just stated which was a bad showing with Ted Cruz in fourth. Jeb Bush had a good night ending up in third place and then John Kasich had a second place finish was great for him.

It was an astounding night. I loved it. It could not have ended more perfectly for the likes of me. Setting Trump's story aside, Kasich coming in second with Christie down in the pack along with Rubio and Cruz low in the end was just great news. And, Bernie winning big was indeed yoooge.

And, this primary was a real one with actual votes while Iowa's caucus is a complete joke. Like I said at the outset here, the campaign started today/yesterday.

Even Hillary Clinton's concession speech was unreal. All of a sudden, she started talking about repealing Citizen's United for gods sakes. I could not believe my ear's during it. She is basically poaching the entire Bernie Sanders and the progressive platform. And, she referred to young people as being them and not as you. 

After many months of suspense, the outcome was apparent right away: Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders were the big winners. But exactly how Tuesday's results will change the 2016 presidential race may not be clear for days or even weeks.

Here are top takeaways from the New Hampshire taken from USA Today:

Sorry, establishment – Trump is for real
Donald Trump gives thumbs up to supporters during a
Since he first entered the race last summer, serious political people have predicted over and over again that the Trump balloon was just about to burst.

His loss in Iowa raised the first hint that perhaps the polls were wrong and his support was not as strong as it had appeared to be for months.

New Hampshire dashed that notion.

Trump won with 35% of the vote, higher than almost all of the last 10 polls in the state. He doubled the vote of his closest competitor.

The South Carolina primary is up next for Republicans, and Trump leads in the polls there by 15 or 20 points. If he can match or exceed his poll numbers again, the Republican Party may be in for a very long and very contentious nomination fight.

Kasich claims a good night for Nice
John Kasich greets supporters at his watch party in
Ohio Gov. John Kasich declared his distant second-place finish to be a victory, and rightly so: He came out ahead of everybody but Trump. And he called it a victory for his positive, upbeat message. “Tonight, the light overcame the darkness" of negative campaigning, he told supporters afterward. Kasich said the best part of his campaign was the town halls where people came and “felt safe” and could share their problems with him. He vowed to slow down and spend more time in these personal, “healing” conversations with supporters.

Only trouble is, New Hampshire is a small state and he did 100 town halls there over a period of months, Hard to see how that “slow down” approach is going to work as the primary calendar picks up speed, the states get bigger and Super Tuesday looms March 1 with contests in 11 states. If Kasich’s pitch is that everybody who gets to know him votes for him, there is just not enough time for him to get to know everybody he needs to make him a winner nationwide.

Debates matter
Marco Rubio speaks during his primary night rally in
Marco Rubio speaks during his primary night rally in
Marco Rubio speaks during his primary night rally in Manchester, N.H., on Feb. 9, 2016. (Photo: Jacquelyn Martin, AP)
After a lousy Saturday debate performance, Marco Rubio was unable to build on the momentum of his surprisingly strong third-place Iowa finish. If he had been third in Iowa and second in New Hampshire, he could claim to be moving in the right direction. Instead he winds up fifth in New Hampshire and with no state on the immediate horizon that looks like a win for him.

Rubio acknowledged the damage Saturday's debate may have done in his speech Tuesday night. “I did not do well on Saturday night, so let me tell you this: That will never happen again.”

While Rubio may not repeat the same mistakes again, the damage from Saturday's debate could prove lasting to his brand. Chris Christie hammered home the point that Rubio has only memorized talking points and had no actual accomplishments, immediately giving birth to a campaign meme. Hecklers dressed as “Rubio Robots” chased him around New Hampshire over the last couple of days, and it is likely he will have a robot on his heels no matter where he goes for the next few weeks.

Jeb Bush – Meh
Jeb Bush speaks during a primary night rally on Feb.
Bush makes it into the top five in New Hampshire, which is not a strong enough finish to claim victory, but not a complete disaster that would force him to immediately drop out of the race.

The good news for the former Florida governor is he'll likely finish just ahead of Rubio, which was long considered a benchmark for Bush's success in the Granite State. But beating a Rubio weakened by Saturday's debate no longer looks like the win it did after Iowa when the Florida senator seemed to have the wind at his back, poised to become the establishment alternative to Trump and Ted Cruz, the Iowa winner.

It's also hard to spin a third- or fourth-place finish for Bush as a positive, given the many millions of dollars he spent here and the fact that he led in the state last summer. But for now, he presses on to South Carolina.

Young people are with Sanders
Bernie Sanders speaks on stage after declaring victory
This wasn't a surprise, but Tuesday illustrated just how powerful the Vermont senator's appeal with young people is what it could mean for his campaign going forward. Sanders carried more than 80% of voters ages 18 to 29, far better than Obama fared eight years earlier.

Young people have lifted Democratic candidates to the nomination before — see Obama in 2008 and George McGovern in 1972 — and Clinton seemed fully aware Tuesday night that she would need to strengthen her appeal with young voters.

“I know I have some work to do, particularly with young people," she told supporters.

It's clear Sanders has emerged as the favorite of younger generations in the 2016 Democratic race, just as Obama did in his successful run against Clinton in 2008. She doesn't have to win them all over, but she can't afford to lose 80% of them in future contests.

Clinton ready for more diverse electorate
Hillary Clinton speaks at her primary rally on Feb.
It's been clear for a while that Iowa and New Hampshire set up particularly well for Sanders, and that as the electorate grows more diverse, she would figure to gain.

We'll soon find out just how true that conventional wisdom is. On Feb. 20, the race moves to Nevada, where 30% of caucusgoers in 2008 were either African American or Hispanic. A week later, it's on to South Carolina, where more than half of primary voters were African American eight years ago. Can Clinton, as has long been believed, carry these voters by large enough margins to overcome Sanders' advantage with young people? If New Hampshire is any indication, she'll certainly need to.

Sanders' policies may get more scrutiny now
People cheer as results come in at the primary night
It may be a celebration Tuesday night, but winning the New Hampshire primary will undoubtedly bring a new degree of scrutiny to Sanders and his proposals. His anti-Wall Street populism has translated into huge crowds, and now, significant support at the polls. But his policies and record will likely be given a new round of scrutiny now that he's emerged as a much more plausible contender for the Democratic nomination.

Clinton has emphasized her pitch that she's a progressive who can get things done. But will she now pivot to an electability argument? That may particularly be a powerful argument given Trump as the possible Republican nominee. Would Democrats risk, she may argue, a President Trump by nominating a Democratic socialist?

Next, dates for South Carolina primary and Nevada caucuses. Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders and at least one or two other candidates will be criss-crossing the country in the coming month as the primary calendar fills out and draws closer to Super Tuesday. 

Here's a closer look at what's next:
The South Carolina Republican primary and Nevada caucus are the next two major elections to take place on the road to the Republican and Democratic nomination for president.

The primary election cycle started with the Iowa caucus and ends June 14 in Washington, D.C. Democratic and Republican voters will either caucus or go to the polls to select delegates to their national conventions during the next four months. 

Those delegates will meet in July, either in Cleveland (Republicans) or Philadelphia (Democrats) to select their parties' presidential and vice-presidential nominees and to adopt a platform of principles.

Now the New Hampshire primary is over, here are the important dates ahead:

In both states, the parties vote on different days of the week. 

In South Carolina, Republicans are voting on Saturday, Feb. 20, and Democrats will be choosing their candidate the following Saturday, Feb. 27, 2016.

Nevada kicks off its caucuses the same time, with Democrats voting on Feb. 20 and Republicans weighing in the following Tuesday, Feb. 23.

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who is seeking the Republican nod, has said he's "ready to roll into South Carolina." But Republican businessman Donald Trump and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton remain the frontrunners in their respective parties in recent polls. 

Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders' strong showing in Iowa and New Hampshire has the Clinton campaign on its heels, analysts say. And among Republican candidates, governors Christie, Jeb Bush of Florida and John Kasich of Ohio have been struggling in the double digits, trying to gain ground on Trump, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio. 

After South Carolina, the presidential race really heats up, with more than a dozen primaries scheduled for March 1. New Jersey's primary is scheduled for June 7.

Frustrated Rubio Staffers Attack Robot Protester Frustrated staffers for Marco Rubio’s beleaguered presidential campaign lashed out on Tuesday morning at protesters making fun of the junior senator’s  habit of repeating himself in a robotic fashion.

Protestors from the Democratic group American Bridge came to a Manchester, New Hampshire event for the Rubio campaign dressed in cardboard boxes designed to look like robots. One was labeled “Rubio Talking Point 3000.”

After they appeared, staffers pounced. They attacked the men in robot costumes, ripping at least one to shreds.

Rubio staff begin shoving me
Embedded image permalink

On ground after they shoved me over
Embedded image permalink
Kevin after they ripped his costume off
Embedded image permalink
Here is video of the attack as well:
Eddie Vale, vice president of American Bridge, wrote “Rubio told press at Manchester precinct for 20 minutes. After their staff pushed and shoved us he retreated to bus after like 2 mins.”

Rubio’s campaign has been under fire since the Republican debate on Saturday night, where Gov. Chris Christie pointed out that in order to substitute for his lack of experience, Rubio had memorized mini-speeches that he leaned on as a crutch.

Since then, the candidate has had to defend this habit, which has even been criticized by some figures on Fox News.

Suddenly the candidate that has been promoted by some as the Republican establishment’s answer to Donald Trump’s insurgent campaign has been exposed with a flaw that is relatively easy for political opponents to exploit.

The “Marcobot” idea is beginning to spread, and it is eroding Rubio’s campaign that so far has been so heavily focused on his confidence and polish, allowing him to quickly play in the big leagues of American politics.

Obviously his backers are feeling the heat as well, spilling over into a thuggish display at this campaign event. What once appeared to be a strong path to the nomination now appears to have some robot-sized obstacles in the way.

Much like Dukakis in the tank, or the Dean Scream, Marcbot is on the loose – can the young senator contain it, or will he be destroyed by it?

As for Trump, Jonathan Freedland of the Gurdianm said it best, 'Donald Trump tore up the rulebook of American politics – and is winning' whereas I maintain that he caters to the the simplest of people in America. Think about his electorate last night, they want to ban Muslim people from America. Forget right or being wrong, it is how it is in America. He always said he was a winner; winning was his brand. And on Tuesday night in New Hampshire, Donald Trump finally got to live up to his own hype.

Reality and the brand came together at last.

It was, first, a victory over his opponents. Keen to show magnanimity in triumph, Trump was quick to tell a victory party jammed with supporters how there were “some very talented people” among the rivals he had defeated – a tribute whose gracious exterior could not conceal the utter condescension within.

But Trump’s victory was over much more than the trailing pack of senators and governors squabbling over the right to consider themselves Trump’s challenger – who, in that very process, only confirmed his message that he stands on a plane above mere politicians.

His was also a victory over the norms and conventions of US politics. Trump did not just tear up the rulebook in New Hampshire: he shredded it and burned its remains.

His defiance ran to both the large and small. Conventional wisdom says that the voters of New Hampshire can only be won over one at a time, by retail politics of the most intimate kind: they won’t give you their vote unless they’ve seen you, eyeball to eyeball, ideally several times. That was the logic that informed Ohio governor John Kasich’s dogged campaign – he did more than 100 “town hall” meetings in the state – and which brought him a handsome second place finish.

Trump was having none of it: the tiny meetings or drop-by visits to diners of New Hampshire folklore were not for him. He flew in on his private jet for big rallies in big arenas and promptly flew out again; it’s said that he did not spend a single night in the state. Such disdain is meant to be punished. But not for Trump.

Similarly, Republicans comply with a golden rule: thou shalt not cross Fox News. Trump did – and it did him in no harm at all. If anything, it won him more favorable coverage from Fox’s cable rivals.

The political handbook says that you’re not meant to use vulgar language in public: such crudity looks “unpresidential”. Yet, Trump called one of his opponents, Senator Ted Cruz, a “pussy” on Monday night before a vast audience. The moment guaranteed Trump yet more attention and airtime, and seemed only to make his supporters admire his disregard for “political correctness” – or what others call courtesy – all the more.

Received wisdom would say that no politician can breezily promise the earth, offering no details, without being dismissed as a charlatan. But Trump’s brazenness on this score is breathtaking. “We’re going to win so much, you’re going to be so happy, we’re going to make America great again,” he told his victory party.

He speaks in a similar vein on every topic. While others might feel an obligation to sketch out something at least approaching a policy, Trump feels no such constraint. On unemployment: “I’m going to be the greatest jobs president.” On the Middle East: “We’re going to knock the hell out of Isis.” On drug abuse, a particularly sharp problem in New Hampshire: “We’re going to end it. It’s going to be over. We’ll get it done.”

How? Don’t even ask. He’ll surround himself with smart people – “the best” – and they’ll fix it. “Believe me.”

And the extraordinary thing is, many thousands of Americans are ready to do just that – to believe Donald Trump. To believe that he will be, as Stephen Stepanek, a Republican member of New Hampshire’s House of Representatives put it to the Guardian, “our savior”.

It’s a strong word, but it captures well the wave that Trump rode to victory in New Hampshire. It defies the usual laws of political gravity. And right now it’s not obvious who or what will stop it carrying him all the way to the White House.

Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders secured a decisive victory over Hillary Clinton as did Republican Donald Trump over Ted Cruz in the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday, as the race to become their respective parties’ nomination reached its second state.

Trump is set to receive double the number of votes for the next Republican candidate while Sanders defeated Clinton by a substantial margin, the BBC reported. After 80 percent of votes had been counted, Sanders had a 20 percentage point lead over Clinton. The final results and margins between the candidates are yet to be announced.

In the Republican vote, Ohio governor John Kasich placed second with Cruz, former Florida Governor and brother of former U.S. President George W. Bush, Jeb, and Florida Senator Marco Rubio battling for third.

Trump, 69, said in his victory speech: “We don’t win with anything. We are going to start winning again. We are going to win so much, you are going to be so happy. We are going to make America so great again. Maybe greater than ever before.”

Sanders, in his speech, pledged to focus on boosting income equality, giving a free education to all and the banking sector.

"What the people here have said is that given the enormous crises facing our country, it is just too late for the same old, same old establishment politics and establishment economics," he said.

Until recently, both men were considered to be outsider candidates but billionaire Trump has converted strong poll numbers into a primary win while Bernie Sanders continues to ride a wave of voter frustration after nearly tying with Clinton in Iowa and now defeating her comfortably in New Hampshire.

Clinton remains the favourite for the Democratic nomination but Tuesday’s result showed that it will not be as easy as many expected. The Republican campaign has also seen two victors in the first two states, with Texas Senator Ted Cruz winning in Iowa.

Rubio, who had finished a strong third in Iowa, apologized to his supporters on Twitter after a poor debate performance on Saturday where he failed to respond to criticism from fellow candidate and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie. “Our disappointment tonight is not on you. It's on me. I did not do well on Saturday night. So listen to this, that will never happen again,” he wrote.

The Republican and Democratic contests move on to the states of South Carolina and Nevada next.

Sunset Daily News & Sports
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Sunset Daily News
10 February 2016
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