Progressive Breakfast: Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas – The Republican Debate

MORNING MESSAGE

CNN marketed hysteria to promote Tuesday night’s debate. And, in the wake of Paris and San Bernardino, it isn’t surprising the Republican candidates rose to the bait. ... In the midst of the hyperbole, a serious debate managed to break out. Rand Paul argued forcefully that the bipartisan excitement about toppling dictators – in Iraq, in Libya and now in Syria – has had calamitous results, leading to failed states, violence and chaos in which terrorist groups like ISIS can thrive. ... Against this, Rubio, Christie, Kasich and Fiorina offered bluster.

Good Sense Carpet-Bombed in GOP Debate

Frank Bruni at The New York Times on Ted Cruz’s plan to “carpet-bomb” ISIS: “You would carpet bomb where ISIS is, not a city, but the location of the troops,” he said, as if there’s no mingling and the fighters of the Islamic State are somehow clustered apart from everyone they control, extinguished with the mere dropping of a rug. … That’s some magic carpet. And it was a prime example of the bluster and oversimplification on vivid, infuriating display in this Republican presidential debate…”
Matthew Yglesias in Vox explains why he thinks Donald Trump was boosted by Tuesday’s CNN debate. “The entire tenor of the debate — almost obsessively focused on ISIS to the exclusion of all other issues — played perfectly into the atmosphere of fear and paranoia that has boosted Trump.”
Ruth Marcus writes that “Ted Cruz is more dangerous than Donald Trump.” “First, although neither man is particularly constrained by truth or facts, Cruz is even more ruthless and cutthroat. … Second, while Trump’s efforts are in the service of self-promotion, Cruz’s are all that plus the implementation of an extreme-right ideology. “

Budget Deal A Right-Left Split Decision

Republicans score wins in budget deal, but some of their key demands were successfully blocked. From Roll Call: “They won a repeal of the decades-old ban on crude oil exports … a prohibition on gene-editing, a repeal of mandatory country-of-origin labeling requirements and a freeze on some Internal Revenue Services operations as punishment for allegedly preventing conservative groups from obtaining tax-exempt status. … The GOP also has set the gears in motion for passage this week on package of ‘tax extenders’ … But Republicans didn’t secure a policy rider curtailing the so-called “fiduciary rule” contained in the Dodd-Frank financial regulatory overhaul bill much maligned by the GOP. They weren’t able to undo a recent National Labor Relations Board ruling related to joint employment status or undermine the Obama administration’s normalization efforts with Cuba.”
Other wins for Democrats in the budget deal, according to The Hill: “The spending bill will postpone the “Cadillac tax” on expensive healthcare plans … Senate Democratic Leader Harry Reid (Nev.) made an all-out push for including the Cadillac tax freeze, which is a top priority of labor unions … also includes a five-year extension of tax breaks for wind and solar energy companies … would keep the 2009 expansions of the child tax credit, earned income tax credit and American opportunity tax credit for college tuition, all core pieces of President Obama’s stimulus law, on the books indefinitely. “

Economy Girds For End of Zero Interest Rates

The Washington Post’s Matt O’Brien says the biggest question about today’s Fed rate raise is “whether the Fed eventually ends up back where it started—at zero.” “That, after all, is what has happened to every other country that has tried to “lift off” from what economists call “the zero lower bound.” … And it might happen here, considering the Fed looks like it’s going to start increasing interest rates even though inflation is far below its 2 percent target and isn’t really rising.”
The Financial Times editorializes against a Fed rate increase. “Year after year, the Fed — along with most forecasters — has overestimated inflationary pressure, suggesting either a miscalculation about the economy’s output capacity or something even more fundamental going wrong. … While American unemployment is low, so is the US’s number of economically inactive people — those neither with a job nor looking for one — both by international and historical standards.”
“Democrats brace,” says Politico. “With recent assurances from Yellen that the central bank will exercise extreme care, growing numbers of Wall Street analysts now believe that a gentle hike of just a quarter of a percentage point will not be necessarily bad news for markets … the knock-on effect could be good news for Democrats including Hillary Clinton who don’t want to see the bank pump the brakes too hard. … On the other end of the spectrum, some left-leaning Democrats are fretting that wages are still slow to rise and that too many workers are not participating in the labor market or are being forced to take part-time jobs.

Who Owns Nevada's News?

Mystery: Did a right-wing mogul just buy Nevada’s largest newspaper? Truthdig: Someone bought the [Las Vegas Review-Journal], said to be Nevada’s largest and most influential news source, and nobody will say who. In fact, according to reports, the buyer’s anonymity was a stipulation of the $140 million cash sale.

Breakfast Sides

Seattle for-hire drivers win right to organize. Reports The Stand in Seattle: “[AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka said,] ‘The vote by the Seattle City Council represents progress in the fight to extend collective bargaining rights to all workers, regardless of whether they drive for Uber or work in a factory.’ … Under the proposal, drivers would have the ability to come together to choose a non-profit organization to represent them. Once authorized, the organization could engage in collective bargaining on the drivers’ behalf. The new law would apply to all taxi drivers, for-hire drivers, and drivers for app-based dispatch companies, such as Uber and Lyft.”
Dean Baker explains why it’s a bad idea to privatize mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. “As long as Fannie and Freddie are essentially public companies that do not offer high returns to shareholders and pay outlandish salaries to CEOs, no one has incentive to take excessive risks. This changes if we allow private banks to issue mortgage-backed securities with the guarantee of the government.”
Economist and progressive banking expert Bill Black tells Real News Network a Justice Department official in a court case accused him of waging “jihad” against banks. “This is how far the Justice Department has fallen … Anyone who wants them to do their job they are treating as a terrorist,” Black told The Real News Network. Says Naked Capitalism’s Yves Smith: “Since when is calling out fraud tantamount to conducting a religious war? Only if you are a devout adherent of cult of elite finance.”

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