Friday, January 20, 2017

Inauguration Day: Trump made a lot of promises about what he will do as president. We’ve documented 663 of them.

THINK PROGRESS: The people who elected Trump expect him to come through.
Donald Trump will take the Oath of Office 583 days after he first announced his improbable run for the White House.

Along the way, he made 663 promises (and counting), according to a ThinkProgress analysis of Trump’s public statements that examined well over 4 million words from his media interviews, his policy position papers, and his speeches to supporters, interest groups, and national television audiences.

These promises matter. Trump’s voters expect him to deliver. As Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) pointed out two weeks ago on the Senate floor regarding Trump’s pledge to not cut entitlement programs like Medicare, “This was a central part of his campaign… This is what he asked millions of elderly people and working class people to vote for him on.”

Yet attention spans are shorter than ever, and Trump himself is skilled at distracting attention from policy or scandal with tweets and endless varieties of incendiary remarks. It’s easy to forget what he told voters he would do.

So starting the week after the election, ThinkProgress undertook a two-month research project to document every promise Trump made, from the golden escalator ride to the inauguration. They are housed here in ThinkProgress’ searchable, interactive Trump Promises Database:

Methodology

ThinkProgress examined 583 days of Trump’s public statements, from his campaign announcement speech on June 16, 2015 all the way up to the day before his inauguration. This included thousands of radio and television interviews, speeches, tweets, and campaign policy documents — well over 4 million words and counting.

Our basic criteria were: 1) a statement made by Trump or by a policy document or questionnaire issued in his name, 2) about what would or would not happen during or as a result of his presidency, 3) about which a reasonable person could be disappointed should the promise be broken.

Every time Trump made a new statement or claim about what he would or would not do as president, or guarantees about what he’d ensure would or would not happen, it went on the list. This includes instances when Trump straightforwardly said “I promise” or “I guarantee,” but also instances when he said that “we will” do something or that something “will never” happen if he became president.
What Trump promised America, specifically

The country will try it his way. Here’s what we’ve been asked to expect from his presidency.

We did not include the most general and vague of Trump’s promises, including his regular pledges to make America great/safe/rich/strong again. We did not include a promise if it would be impossible or unfeasible to judge whether it had been kept. We did our best to prune away promises that were examples of empty rhetoric or obvious hyperbole.

For instance, this promise was too vague for us to include:

“We will bring America together as one country again. United as Americans in common purpose and common dreams. We will have a thriving economy. A strong border. A powerful military. A peaceful nation. A rising standard of living. This is what I promise you.”

While these promises were specific and measurable enough to include for future scrutiny:

“And we will produce 25 million jobs over a period of 10 years as sure as you are standing there.”
“We’ll build a wall, I promise. I promise, we will build a wall. If there’s ever a second term, you’ll say, man, he got that wall built fast, we’re going to put him up. So we’ll see. We’ll build the wall.”

“ As part of removing the defense sequester I will ask Congress to fully offset the cost of increased military spending.”

After culling the list for duplicates and similar variations of the same promise, we counted 663 promises candidate Trump made before taking office.

Forgotten promises
By now, everyone knows that Donald Trump has promised to build a wall and make Mexico pay for it, repeal and replace Obamacare, and renegotiate trade deals. But he’s also made plenty of other promises that most people haven’t heard or have since forgotten about.

Here are a few examples of largely forgotten promises that appear in ThinkProgress’ Trump Promise Database:

Edward Snowden will get kicked out of Russia

“[Russian President Vladimir Putin] would never keep somebody like Snowden in Russia. … Look if that — if I’m president, Putin says, hey, boom, you’re gone. I guarantee you this.”

Trump will rename Mt. Denali

President Obama wants to change the name of Mt. McKinley to Denali after more than 100 years. 

Great insult to Ohio. I will change back!”

The deficit will be under $400 billion

“We’re not going to have a $400 billion deficit. That will go away rapidly and we’ll get along.”

Trump will call Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei “baby”

“You know the president calls him the Supreme Leader? I guarantee you I will be never calling him the Supreme Leader. He’s not going to be called — I’ll say, ‘Hey baby, how ya doing?’ I will never call him the Supreme Leader.”

Trump will save Medicare without cuts

“I’ll save Medicare. Ben Carson wants to get rid of Medicare. You can’t get rid of Medicare. You know, Medicare’s a program that works. There’s fraud, there’s abuse, there’s waste, but you don’t get rid of Medicare. You can’t do that. People love Medicare. And it’s unfair to them. I’m going to fix it and make it better, but I’m not going to cut it.”

Trump will triple Border Protection agents

“We’re going to triple up the number of the Border Patrol.”

Apple will make products in America

“We’re gonna get Apple to start building their damn computers and things in this country instead of in other countries.”

Trump will only use John Deere and Caterpillar tractors to build wall

“China, 2,000 years ago built a wall that is 13,000 miles long and they didn’t have Caterpillar tractors. We do. And we only want to use John Deere and Caterpillar, we don’t want to use Komatsu right? We don’t want to use Komatsu. We’re going to use our tractors.”

Accountability
All politicians promise things in their campaigns for office. Trump is not new in this regard.

However, Trump’s promises were often so outlandish, far-reaching, and ridiculous that they received disproportionate attention.

After the election, the president-elect did not walk back the scope of his campaign promises, saying in this “thank you” speech to Cincinnati supporters in December that “anything we want” is possible:

People are constantly telling me, and telling you, to reduce our expectations. Those people are fools. They are fools. But this campaign proved that the old rules no longer apply. That anything we want for our country is now possible. Anything we want. Anything, Right? Now is not the time to downsize our dreams but to set our sights higher than ever before for our country.

Following a meeting with the House Republican Conference on January 4, Vice President-elect Mike Pence said the Trump administration would not shirk from promises made in the heat of the campaign:

Today our message is very simple. Working with the leadership here in the House and in the Senate, we’re going to be in the promise-keeping business. The president-elect campaigned all across this country. He gave voice to the frustrations and the aspirations of the American people. He laid out an agenda to make America great again, and my message on his behalf today before this conference and before members of the Senate is that we intend to keep those promises.

Trump’s ambition matches his self-confidence. He has told his supporters he will accomplish all of the things he has said he will do in his first term, so that he can use his second term to relax.

“So I’m just telling you I can do it all in four years,” Trump told an audience in Baton Rouge, Louisiana last February. “But if I’m doing a great job, let me have four easier years, okay? Let me have four easier years. Let me have four years of relaxation because I’ll do most of the work in the first four years. By that time we’ll have a really strong military, we’ll be taking care of our vets better than any vets are taken care of anywhere.”

Starting on Inauguration Day, ThinkProgress will track which promises Trump fulfills, breaks, or ignores over the course of his presidency — including any new ones he makes after he takes office.

He has even made promises about keeping his promises.

“Promises, promises, all talk, no action,” Trump told a Michigan audience in August. “All talk, no action politicians. They talk, talk, talk. You vote them in with great fanfare, and then they do nothing. With Trump, that’s not going to happen. Believe me.”

We’ll be watching.

What Trump promised America, specifically. The country will try it his way. Here’s what we’ve been asked to expect from his presidency.
In his first speech as president-elect, Donald Trump pledged to “be president for all Americans” and to work with supporters and critics alike to “unify our great country.” Now that it is apparent that — likely without a plurality of the votes — the nation has selected him to lead the country, it will now be up to him to deliver on his promises to “make America great again.”

With GOP majorities in both houses of Congress for at least the next two years and what will likely be a friendly Supreme Court, Americans will now see what happens trying things his way.

Here is what the Trump administration must now deliver to keep his promises:

Bring back jobs.
Trump’s acceptance speech promised “millions of new jobs.” He later put a number on this: as many as 25 million jobs over the next 10 years and better than 4 percent GDP growth. To do this, he proposed renegotiating or canceling trade deals, tax cuts, deregulation, and reducing our spending on defense of our allies. He said that he alone can fix the system rigged against American workers. He said his plan would be the most pro-growth policy “perhaps in the history of our country.” Americans should expect Trump to “fix the system so it works for all Americans” and spark massive job growth.

Major investment in cities and infrastructure.

A common campaign refrain from Trump was that things are terrible for people living in America’s cities. “What the hell have you got to lose?” he asked, noting that inner-city resident who are Latino and African American are “living in hell because it’s so dangerous.” In his victory address, Trump promised to “fix our inner cities and rebuild our highways, bridges, tunnels, airports, schools, hospitals. We’re going to rebuild our infrastructure, which will become, by the way, second to none. And we will put millions of our people to work as we rebuild it.” If Trump’s proposed “America’s infrastructure first” plan is successful, Americans should expect to see major economic, safety, and infrastructural improvements in each of the nation’s cities.

Mexico will pay for the wall.
Perhaps the most popular pledge at Trump’s rallies was his oft-repeated vow that he would build a massive wall along America’s southern border and would make Mexico pay for it. Though Mexico’s president has said his country will not do so, Trump’s plan is to use an increase in visa and border fees and to threaten to cut off payments from immigrants to their families. Americans should expect that Mexico will indeed pay for that wall in full.

Health care that beats Obamacare.
Trump and the GOP congress have promised to “repeal and replace” the Affordable Care Act. Trump plans to achieve that “by following free market principles and working together to create sound public policy that will broaden healthcare access, make healthcare more affordable and improve the quality of the care available to all Americans.” Most often, he’s simply said he’ll replace the program that has provided healthcare to more than 20 million Americans with “something terrific.” Americans should expect a healthcare policy that provides better care for all citizens at a lower price.

Global security.

Trump claimed in 2015 to know even more about ISIS than America’s generals and has vowed to “make life safe in America” by defeating the “barbarians of ISIS.” He specifically assured LGBT Americans that he would protect them from ISIS “violence and oppression,” and he has opined that calling the attacks “Islamic terrorism” would be essential to stopping them. He also hinted at a secret plan to defeat terrorism, scolding Hillary Clinton for putting her own plan on her website. Trump further said his “law and order” approach he would begin with “safety at home” and would “stop the gangs and the violence, and to stop the drugs” in America. Americans should expect an end to terrorism and and a massive, nation-wide drop in crime.

In his convention speech, Trump explained that “the problems we face now — poverty and violence at home, war and destruction abroad — will last only as long as we continue relying on the same politicians who created them.” Another speech promised “so much winning if I get elected that you may get bored with the winning.” The burden is now squarely on his shoulders to prove that was more than empty rhetoric.

Judd Legum, Josh Israel, Esther Yu Hsi Lee, Zack Ford, Laurel Raymond, Aaron Rupar, Jonathon Padron, and Adam Peck contributed reporting and graphic design work to this project.