Progressive Breakfast: Can Clinton Convince Skeptical Voters She'll Fix the Economy?

MORNING MESSAGE

What’s Hillary Clinton’s economic message? According to her acceptance speech, “My primary mission as President will be to create more opportunity and more good jobs with rising wages right here in the United States.” In normal times that message might be enough. But these are not normal times ... Clinton and Kaine’s expressed opposition to the TPP could leave many voters unpersuaded. They could address that by promising to whip against it on Capitol Hill ... It’s not enough to say, “Wall Street can never, ever be allowed to wreck Main Street again.” ... Clinton could give that pledge some teeth by promising not to appoint anyone from Wall Street to a senior position in the Treasury or Justice Departments.

CAMPAIGNS TARGET RUST BELT WHITES

Clinton campaign hopes to narrow margins with white working-class. NYT: “….across regions where blue-collar jobs in manufacturing and other sectors have evaporated, Mrs. Clinton is attempting a delicate balancing act: insisting she is not satisfied with the economy even as she defends Mr. Obama’s work, positioning Democrats as the party of optimists.”
Clinton needs to sound more populist, argues HuffPost’s Robert Kuttner: ” If Clinton can start sounding as emphatic on the pocketbook issues as she did on all the other issues, then Democrats can begin savoring a victory over Trump, maybe even a crushing one … Clinton needs to show up Trump by being both very specific and a lot bolder bolder than her recent predecessors.”
Poll shows support for debt-free college. Bloomberg: “Sixty-two percent say they support debt-free university tuition, according to a July survey of 1,000 American adults … But when it comes to putting their money where their mouth is, Americans are more reluctant. Among those surveyed, 48 percent they would not be willing to pay more in federal taxes to fund free college … While 79 percent of millennials support free college, only 64 percent of Gen Xers and 49 percent of boomers feel similarly.”
Austerity is out. NYT: “… among economists, the outlook is changing. And with interest rates near historical lows and growth stuck in a rut … even some veterans of Washington’s budget wars are challenging the reigning fiscal orthodoxy that perceives the perennial budget gap as something inherently sinful … regardless of who wins in November, it now appears that the next president is more likely than not to end up backing, if not embracing, more deficit spending … ‘It’s called priming the pump,’ Mr. Trump said. ‘Sometimes you have to do that a little bit to get things going. We have no choice — otherwise, we are going to die on the vine.'”

TPP SUPPORTERS STEP UP LOBBYING

Pro-TPP forces plan “counterattack.” Politico: “Trade Benefits America, a leading business coalition, is coordinating a grassroots advertising campaign that’s currently sending members of Congress between 60 and 70 pro-TPP letters every day … They point to opinion polls that show a majority of Americans support free trade and say back-to-back party conventions have merely magnified a few loud anti-TPP voices that don’t understand all of the facts. And they say that in the end, lawmakers will vote the interests of their districts…”
Politico asks, “Can Sanders and Warren work together” in the Senate?: “…while Warren’s clout within the party structure has steadily increased in recent months — to the point that Clinton allies now privately concede the nominee has had to pay special attention to her wishes, potentially even when it comes to political appointments — Sanders’ future with the Democrats is far murkier, even as he commands an army of grass-roots supporters.”

CLIMATE BECOMES CAMPAIGN FLASHPOINT

Campaigns engage climate debate more than ever. NYT: “…President Obama and his Republican opponent, Mitt Romney, almost never spoke about it … [But] Mrs. Clinton regularly highlights her plan to combat global warming [and] Donald J. Trump, has gone further than any other Republican presidential nominee in opposing climate change policy … Democratic strategists once sidestepped the issue, seeing any proposal that might raise energy prices as politically risky. But they are now pushing it to the forefront.”
Clinton aides don’t dismiss carbon tax. The Hill: “At a League of Conservation Voters event in Philadelphia, Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta told Politico that ‘if Congress wants to come forward with [a carbon tax proposal], we’ll take a look at it.’ Trevor Houser, Clinton’s top energy adviser, had a similar take at a separate event … Both men were careful to add caveats to their answers, making it clear that Clinton is not proposing a carbon tax … The statements, though, nonetheless move Clinton past her previous refusal to even talk about the issue.”

BREAKFAST SIDES

GOP hopeful on keeping Senate. The Hill: “In the critical states of Ohio, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania, GOP candidates are running as strongly as they were before Trump became the party’s presidential nominee … Democrats are favored to win back Republican-held seats in Illinois and Wisconsin, and both sides’ surveys show Democrats ahead in Indiana. Polls show the three critical states at the fulcrum of Senate control — Ohio, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania — effectively tied. If a backlash against Trump does hurt Republican candidates, Democrats are closely watching GOP incumbents in Missouri, Arizona and North Carolina, too … Neither party’s internal surveys show evidence of a developing wave…”
Green Party may tap Nina Turner for VP this week. W. Post: “Nina Turner, a former Ohio state senator who became one of Bernie Sanders’s most passionate surrogates, confirmed Sunday night that she has been offered a spot on the Green Party’s 2016 ticket. She hasn’t decided whether to accept it … ‘Talking with my family. There’s nothing to tell at this point.’ …”
Subtle assault on voting rights. NYT: “Most conspicuous have been state efforts like voter ID laws or cutbacks in early voting periods … Less apparent [are the] numerous voting changes enacted in counties and towns across the South and elsewhere … Alabama moved last year to close 31 driver’s license offices, almost all in rural areas with large African-American populations … In Hernando County, Fla.; Cleveland and Watauga Counties in North Carolina; Baldwin County, Ala.; and elsewhere, elections officials eliminated or moved polling places in largely minority districts … The Republican majority in North Carolina’s General Assembly redrew the political districts last year in Wake County … concentrating black voters in the city center into a single voting district….”

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